आंकलन में जुड़ी राजनीतिक पार्टियां, क्या फिर चल सकती है मोदी लहर 

पिछले चुनाव की तुलना में 6  फीसदी कम वोट डाले गए

गुरुवार  11  अप्रैल  को  लोकसभा  चुनाव  का  प्रथम  चरण  पूरा  हो  चुका  है लोगो ने बढ़ चढ़कर मतदान में हिस्सा लिया आपको बता दें की लोकसभा चुनाव के प्रथम चरण में २० राज्यों की 91 सीटों के लिए मतदान किये गए जिसमे कुल 1239 उम्मीदवारों का फैसला होने वाला है वैसे तो पोलिंग बूथ पर लोगो की भीड़ देखने को मिली लेकिन अगर आकड़ो की माने तो पिछले लोकसभा चुनाव 2014 में 66 .4 फीसदी वोट डाले गए थे और इस बार के आंकड़ों का कहना है की इस वर्ष केवल 600 फीसदी वोट पड़े ,
सोचने वाली बात ये है की लोगो में मतदान के प्रति रुझान क्यों काम हो गया ? क्या  वजह है की इतने जागरूकता अभियान के बाद भी लोगो को वोट देने के प्रति जागरूक नहीं कर पाए…  पहले चरण के सफल होने के बाद अब सभी पार्टियां ये अंदाज़ा लगाने में जुटी हुई हैं की आने वाले चरणों  में किसकी झोली में कितने वोट पड़ने की सम्भावना है खैर ये तो अब आने वाले चुनाव के नतीजे ही बताएँगे की किसकी किस्मत इस चुनाव में चमकती  है.
किन जगह आंकड़ों  में आया उतार- चढ़ाव
पहले चरण में सबसे ज्यादा मतदान पश्चिम बंगाल में 81 फीसदी रहा और सबसे कम बिहार में 50 फीसदी रहा. जबकि पश्चिम उत्तर प्रदेश की आठ सीटों पर हुए चुनाव में 64 फीसदी मतदान हुआ. पिछली लोकसभा की सूची उठाकर देखने पर पता चलता है की 2014 में बीजेपी 32 सीटें जीतने में सफल रही थी. जबकि कांग्रेस के पास महज 7 सीटें पहुंची थी  इसके अलावा 16 सीटें टीडीपी के पास, 11 टीआरएस, 9 सीटें वाईएसआर कांग्रेस, 4 सीटें बीजेडी और 12 सीटें अन्य दलों ने जीती थी.बीजेपी ने 2014 के लोकसभा चुनाव में जिन 32 सीटों को जीता था. इनमें यूपी की सभी 8 सीटें, उत्तराखंड की सभी 5, महाराष्ट्र की 7 में से 5, असम की 5 से 4, बिहार की 4 में 3 सीटें बीजेपी ने जीती थी.
क्या बीजेपी का पलड़ा इस बार हल्का हो गया है  ?
इस चुनाव में दिलचस्प बात यह है की बिहार की जिन 4 सीटों को बीजेपी द्वारा जीता गया था उनमे इस बार केवल एक सीट पर ही  बीजेपी चुनावी मैदान में है बाकि की अन्य 3 सीटों पर जेडीयू और अन्य पार्टियों के उम्मीदवार उतारे  गए हैं अब देखना ये होगा की 2014 के मुकाबले इस बार लोकसभा चुनाव में किसका पलड़ा भरी होने वाला है पिछली  कांग्रेस द्वार भी कई मशक्कत की गयी है अब सभी पार्टियों की म्हणत का फल केसा होगा ये तो फल यानी चुनाव के परिणाम के बाद ही पता चलेगा
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